Sunday, January 28, 2007
Iran's current nuclear fiasco
Iran's efforts to produce highly enriched uranium, the material used to make nuclear bombs, are in chaos and the country is still years from mastering the required technology.
The London "Observer" says in some detail that Iran's nuclear program is so far an extremely expensive failure. supposedly, Iran's uranium enrichment programme has been plagued by constant technical problems, lack of access to outside technology and knowhow, and a failure to master the complex production-engineering processes involved.
Knowlegeable sources say: 'Iran has put all this money into this huge hole in the ground at Natanz; it has put a huge amount of money in these P-1 centrifuges, the model rejected by Urenco. It is like the Model T Ford compared to a Prius. That is not to say they will not master the technology eventually, but they are trying to master very challenging technology without access to everything that they require.' Of course I do not know all this as fact, but the "Observer" claims it.
An Iranian nuclear agency official has denied claims made by a top lawmaker that the Islamic Republic had begun installing 3,000 centrifuges at an uranium enrichment plant, Iran's state-run news agency reported late Saturday.
The Islamic Republic said on Tuesday it was barring entry to 38 IAEA inspectors, who were nationals of Western countries which sponsored the UN sanctions or backed them. The IAEA has urged Iran to review that step.
IMO: Iran should not try to build nuclear bombs. Australia was genuinely threatened by the usual nut cases around 1948 and could have built a state of the art bomb then, in six months. A few years later I nearly took a job at the reactor so I know. But other measures were used and no bomb was ever required. I would agree that in stategic respects, Iran's situation is different but even if Iran wants more defense, there are better ways to spend the money. For that matter, any fool with money can build a so-called dirty bomb right now and clear many of the Jews from Israel but Iran is just talking bland political rhetoric. Plague threats are a lot cheaper anyway, for example. Soon the latter may even become selective in terms of nationality.
The London "Observer" says in some detail that Iran's nuclear program is so far an extremely expensive failure. supposedly, Iran's uranium enrichment programme has been plagued by constant technical problems, lack of access to outside technology and knowhow, and a failure to master the complex production-engineering processes involved.
Knowlegeable sources say: 'Iran has put all this money into this huge hole in the ground at Natanz; it has put a huge amount of money in these P-1 centrifuges, the model rejected by Urenco. It is like the Model T Ford compared to a Prius. That is not to say they will not master the technology eventually, but they are trying to master very challenging technology without access to everything that they require.' Of course I do not know all this as fact, but the "Observer" claims it.
An Iranian nuclear agency official has denied claims made by a top lawmaker that the Islamic Republic had begun installing 3,000 centrifuges at an uranium enrichment plant, Iran's state-run news agency reported late Saturday.
The Islamic Republic said on Tuesday it was barring entry to 38 IAEA inspectors, who were nationals of Western countries which sponsored the UN sanctions or backed them. The IAEA has urged Iran to review that step.
IMO: Iran should not try to build nuclear bombs. Australia was genuinely threatened by the usual nut cases around 1948 and could have built a state of the art bomb then, in six months. A few years later I nearly took a job at the reactor so I know. But other measures were used and no bomb was ever required. I would agree that in stategic respects, Iran's situation is different but even if Iran wants more defense, there are better ways to spend the money. For that matter, any fool with money can build a so-called dirty bomb right now and clear many of the Jews from Israel but Iran is just talking bland political rhetoric. Plague threats are a lot cheaper anyway, for example. Soon the latter may even become selective in terms of nationality.
# posted by uv : 12:55 AM
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