Wednesday, October 04, 2006
N. Korea again
From "Asia Times" Korea Oct 5, 2006
"The "isolation" of North Korea that most experts predict would probably not last beyond the first round of shrill denunciations and recriminations, after which China and South Korea would resume business as usual, while Japan and the US would follow through on threats to tighten their own sanctions. Militarily, nothing much would happen beyond "states of emergency".
In terms of the actual security of the region, however, a test could put surrounding nations on a terrifying trajectory of a nuclear arms race. Japan, besides giving up all pretense of a "peace constitution", could rev up as a military superpower facing not just North Korea but China. North Korea, moreover, could increase exports of nuclear technology and components to Iran and other likely markets."
IMO: However it works, if China is not a bit less casual with its external relations it faces the real possibility of a real nuclear attack. And we need to remember that the clampdown on trade by the 'ugly Americans', too dishonest even to pay their embassy car parking bills in London, will certainly include an attempted clampdown on all those phony N. Korean made $100 bills, narcotics and weapons. Iranian druggies will tremble, literally !
"The "isolation" of North Korea that most experts predict would probably not last beyond the first round of shrill denunciations and recriminations, after which China and South Korea would resume business as usual, while Japan and the US would follow through on threats to tighten their own sanctions. Militarily, nothing much would happen beyond "states of emergency".
In terms of the actual security of the region, however, a test could put surrounding nations on a terrifying trajectory of a nuclear arms race. Japan, besides giving up all pretense of a "peace constitution", could rev up as a military superpower facing not just North Korea but China. North Korea, moreover, could increase exports of nuclear technology and components to Iran and other likely markets."
IMO: However it works, if China is not a bit less casual with its external relations it faces the real possibility of a real nuclear attack. And we need to remember that the clampdown on trade by the 'ugly Americans', too dishonest even to pay their embassy car parking bills in London, will certainly include an attempted clampdown on all those phony N. Korean made $100 bills, narcotics and weapons. Iranian druggies will tremble, literally !
# posted by uv : 4:56 AM
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